Menu
Opinion

Win mathematically possible but statistically unlikely

EDITORIAL: It's fair enough that candidate for Hinkler Rob Messenger is saying he "won't give up the fight" for the Hinkler electorate until all the votes have been counted.

He is calling for a recount and re-examination of preferences, in a last-ditch grasp to win the seat.

But on the Chronicle's website, Mr Messenger has made an interesting remark: "To claim victory before the AEC declares the winner in a tight race shows inexperience and a hint of arrogance."

Strange - it didn't take his party leader Clive Palmer long to make his first claim of victory, long before the postal votes had been counted.

And even stranger that Mr Palmer has now changed his tune and says he won't win the seat of Fairfax due to so-called "voting irregularities" - despite the two-candidate preferred count still putting him ahead of his rival, Liberal National Party candidate Ted O'Brien.

While at this point it appears to be mathematically possible for Mr Messenger to win, it is statistically unlikely given the previous preference flows.

One wonders whether a recount really would be necessary in either seat - or whether it's just time to let the numbers speak for themselves.

Topics:  clementine norton editorial federal election 2013 hinkler rob messenger



Flames engulf shed while owner on lunch

DEVASTATED: The burnt remains of a shed at a property on Pindari Crescent at Sunshine Acres.

Luckily, the shed was about 30m away from the couple's home.

What speeding will cost you

ROAD SAFETY WEEK: Constable Matthew Bedding participating in speed management LiDAR training in George Street.

If you do exceed the speed limit, you will be penalised.

Less than a week until renowned horseman performs

Renowned horseman Guy McLean will soon perform in Hervey Bay.

Guy McLean is bringing his show to the Seafront Oval on January 27.

Local Partners